Independent Strategic Analysis of Australia’s Global Interests

Strategic Weekly Analysis

New Caledonia Independence: Paris Preparing for Close Result in December

While France has undertaken to work with both sides and to respect the outcome of the vote, if this year’s referendum results in a “yes” to New Caledonian independence, the loss of territory and influence will not be welcomed. For partners such as Australia, New Zealand and the United States, a potentially reduced French presence in the south-west Pacific at a time of growing Chinese influence in the region is likely to be viewed with some concern.

ASEAN, India and the Covid-19 Pandemic

Unlike when it first struck a year ago, the recent Covid-19 wave has affected several ASEAN countries severely. While the absolute numbers of fatalities are not high in countries other than Thailand and Malaysia due to strict restrictions having been imposed, the slow rate of inoculation remains a concern.

A Rare Chance to Chart a New Course towards Peace

There has never before been an Israeli government representing the entire political spectrum from the extreme left to the extreme right. It offers a rare chance to chart a new course to gradually end the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. It will be tragic to miss this historic opportunity.

Adapting India’s Approach to South Asia in a Post-Covid World

In a post-Covid-19 world, there is a need to deepen South Asian co-operation. In such a changing landscape, it is important for India to modify its approach towards the region.

A Course Correction in US-Russia Relations?

Recent steps taken by the United States to reduce tensions with Russia are important, not just in the bilateral context but also the overall world order, because a more nuanced approach will help to prevent Moscow from veering further towards Beijing.

The Restricted and Intimidated Media Environment in Pakistan

The increasingly restricted and intimidated freedom of journalists and commentators in Pakistan places at risk the country’s democratic future and demands the world’s attention.

While India’s Nuclear Submarine Deterrent Accelerates, Australia’s Remains Unformulated

While India’s plan to construct six nuclear-powered attack submarines is the result of decades-long perseverance in the face of ridicule and a lack of funding, Australia remains ideologically constrained.

France Promises New Priorities as Next President of the Indian Ocean Commission

If successfully actioned, the focus on such areas as economic development, improved maritime security and ecological protection has the potential to benefit not only the island countries of the south-western Indian Ocean, but also the wider region. Both the Commission and Australia would benefit from any move by Canberra to seek official observer status with the grouping.

Pakistan-Saudi Ties May Be Recovering from Recent Strains

Pakistan Prime Minister Imran Khan’s recent visit to Saudi Arabia reiterates the importance – both economic and strategic – of the bilateral relationship in spite of the setbacks encountered in recent years.

Kept on the Sidelines: The AU’s Non-Intervention in Ethiopia

The civil war that has consumed the Tigray region in northern Ethiopia has highlighted the inability of the African Union to respond effectively to the possible atrocities committed by one of its most powerful members.

Publication Guide

  • Associate papers are primary source assessments written by FDI associates. The assessment topics range from regional bilateral relationships and opportunities and challenges in our neighbouring countries.

  • Feature interviews are interviews conducted by an FDI Research Manager. Interview topics range from the sustainability of our planet to the improved provision of emergency food aid.

  • Normally issued in hardcopy, these represent a comprehensive study of one of FDI’s four research areas.

  • Strategic alerts are priority current intelligence items. We provide these alerts when events such as military deployments or foreign election results occur.

  • A 1500 to 3000 word, single topic assessment.

  • A number of short articles addressing current intelligence topics, issued each week.

  • A record of discussions resulting from a single, or series of, roundtable conferences.

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