Independent Strategic Analysis of Australia’s Global Interests

Indian Ocean

The Indian Ocean is critical to global trade and food and energy security. Resources increasingly are being exploited by its littoral and island states. It is also a stage for the pursuit of global strategic and regional military and security interests.

Australia’s AUKUS Submarines: Turning the Screws on China

The nuclear submarine technology that Australia will acquire through the AUKUS alliance is only one element of a major recalibration of Australian and US strategies to counter China.

China Railway Group Nearing Completion of Bangladesh’s Padma Bridge

The six-kilometre-long Padma Bridge will greatly enhance connectivity across Bangladesh and exemplifies China’s expanding soft power.

Lessons from the Afghanistan Conundrum

16 September 2021 | Associate Papers, Indian Ocean

A failure to understand Afghan history, the country’s tribal culture, its unfamiliar rugged terrain and an underestimation of the Taliban’s faith, determination and fighting skills, combined with the rampant corruption of the Karzai and Ghani governments, Washington’s misreading of Afghan political reality and faulty technical intelligence, all led to the failure of US military plans.

Bahrain-Israel Links Grow as Normalisation Takes Off

New air and diplomatic links between Bahrain and Israel are coming into effect and, together with increased trade volumes, constitute the latest developments flowing from the Abraham Accords, which are beginning to bring demonstrable benefits.

The Role of Iran in Taliban-ruled Afghanistan

Iran’s role in Afghanistan is likely to be important, due to its geographic location and also because, while Tehran will seek to find common ground with other countries, including China, it is also likely to follow an independent policy driven by its own strategic interests, especially in the South Asian context.

Revising its Tibet Policy: Does India Have the Political Will?

China has seized every opportunity to test the leaders of other countries, especially the US. If India were to enter into a security alliance with the other Quad countries, it would gain a major advantage that would allow it to test China, just as Beijing has tested others. It would also allow India to revisit its Tibet policy and, by extension, its one-China policy. The question is, does Prime Minister Modi have the political will to enter into such an alliance?

Japan and Iran: Some Implications of Foreign Minister’s Visit to Tehran

While Motegi’s visit to Tehran will boost Iran-Japan ties, it will have a greater impact on other international issues, notably the Iran nuclear agreement and Afghanistan.

BRICS Bank Begins Global Expansion

In joining the New Development Bank (NDB), outward-looking Uruguay will conceivably feel very much at home among the countries of the Indo-Pacific. It will be looking to the NBD to help further those linkages as it continues to diversify its economy and further reduce its dependence on its large recession-prone neighbours.

Pakistan-US Relations: How to Bridge the Widening Gap

2 September 2021 | Associate Papers, Indian Ocean

The United States and Pakistan must achieve a strategically beneficial and sustainable relationship because, despite global strategic realignments, the international community has never been more interdependent and interactive. Ultimately, both countries need to realise that extremes can and must be avoided and the middle ground on almost all issues should be explored.

The United Arab Emirates’ Reopening is Good News for South Asian Expats

The removal of restrictions will be a tremendous help to South Asian expats who would normally be employed in the UAE but who have been stranded outside its borders due to Covid-19, and for those who have business interests in the Emirates but who have been unable to travel there.

Publication Guide

  • Associate papers are primary source assessments written by FDI associates. The assessment topics range from regional bilateral relationships and opportunities and challenges in our neighbouring countries.

  • Feature interviews are interviews conducted by an FDI Research Manager. Interview topics range from the sustainability of our planet to the improved provision of emergency food aid.

  • Normally issued in hardcopy, these represent a comprehensive study of one of FDI’s four research areas.

  • Strategic alerts are priority current intelligence items. We provide these alerts when events such as military deployments or foreign election results occur.

  • A 1500 to 3000 word, single topic assessment.

  • A number of short articles addressing current intelligence topics, issued each week.

  • A record of discussions resulting from a single, or series of, roundtable conferences.

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