Independent Strategic Analysis of Australia’s Global Interests

Indian Ocean SWA Articles

Papua New Guinea and Timor-Leste: Australia’s Struggling Neighbours

PNG and Timor-Leste are both facing significant economic and political obstacles and are likely to turn towards China for help. Australia is not in a strong position to offer a counterbalance.

Japan’s Foreign Policy: Suga Set to Follow Path Set by Abe

Yoshihide Suga, Japan’s new Prime Minister, will likely continue down the foreign policy path set by his predecessor, Shinzo Abe, as he inherits pressing domestic issues ranging from COVID-19 to the economy and a new East Asian security framework.

France Strengthens Partnership with India as First Rafale Fighters Delivered to IAF

At a ceremony to hand over the first tranche of 36 Dassault Rafale fighter aircraft to the Indian Air Force, French Armed Forces Minister Florence Parly was clear about her country’s support for India as a primary strategic partner.

China’s Continuing Conundrum: The US in the Maldives and Palau

Washington’s upgraded relationship with the Maldives and its invitation to build ports and bases in Palau can only add to Beijing’s consternation – and increase the likelihood of conflict between them.

China’s Mounting Worries: How Much More Can Xi Take?

While the increasing international pushback against China’s coercive tendencies may be viewed as the international community finally standing up to Beijing, the more pertinent question ought to be: how much more pressure can General Secretary Xi endure without feeling overwhelmed or cornered and lashing out militarily?

Thailand Protests Point towards Impending Generational Change

It is unlikely that the protests will bring about major change in the short-term future, as activists continue to be arrested. They do, however, represent a generational shift in Thai politics and could lead to similar protests in the future.

Mauritius Government Facing Record Public Discontent after Oil Spill

Having previously won praise for its successful handling of COVID-19, the Mauritian Government now faces the wrath of its citizens after its poor handling of the MV Wakashio oil spill, which continues to wreak environmental damage.

US-China Rivalry and Middle Powers in the Indo-Pacific

Due to China’s aggressive pursuit of its national interests, the erosion of Sino-US relations and international loss of confidence in US leadership, middle powers must secure their own interests and provide alternatives for smaller countries to siding with China or the United States.

The Saudi-Pakistani Relationship: Riyadh Turns the Screw

Riyadh has forced Islamabad to choose whether to fall in line and end its criticism of Saudi policy or give up its access to Saudi financial aid and cheap oil supplies.

Can Indonesia Still Build its New Capital City?

Building the new capital has been delayed until Indonesia’s economy recovers from the COVID-19 pandemic. That, however, could take several years, although the government will still likely push for construction to begin before the end of Jokowi’s term in office.

Publication Guide

  • Associate papers are primary source assessments written by FDI associates. The assessment topics range from regional bilateral relationships and opportunities and challenges in our neighbouring countries.

  • Feature interviews are interviews conducted by an FDI Research Manager. Interview topics range from the sustainability of our planet to the improved provision of emergency food aid.

  • Normally issued in hardcopy, these represent a comprehensive study of one of FDI’s four research areas.

  • Strategic alerts are priority current intelligence items. We provide these alerts when events such as military deployments or foreign election results occur.

  • A 1500 to 3000 word, single topic assessment.

  • A number of short articles addressing current intelligence topics, issued each week.

  • A record of discussions resulting from a single, or series of, roundtable conferences.

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