Independent Strategic Analysis of Australia’s Global Interests

Indian Ocean

The Indian Ocean is critical to global trade and food and energy security. Resources increasingly are being exploited by its littoral and island states. It is also a stage for the pursuit of global strategic and regional military and security interests.

Indonesian and US Defence Ministers Meet

While there was no single significant outcome from the meeting, it nonetheless highlights the growing importance of Indonesia to the United States and pragmatism from Indonesia’s Government in keeping Washington onside.

Voters in Seychelles Head to the Polls

In what would be a first, Seychellois voters may decide to reward an energised opposition by electing a president from a party other than that which has governed since independence.

Beijing’s Great Game in the Indo-Pacific: Future Dynamics

The consequences of China’s increasingly assertive foreign policy are being felt globally, with the Indo-Pacific being the most-affected region. Beijing must understand, however, that the Indo-Pacific is a multipolar region and is too large and complex to be dominated by any one power. In fact, China’s actions in the Indo-Pacific are further driving the consolidation of the Quad.

State of Play: India’s Gulf Relations Amid Shifting Regional Ties

15 October 2020 | Associate Papers, Indian Ocean

India has solid bilateral relations with the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain, both of which have normalised their relations with Israel, and with Israel itself, aided by the shared right-wing political values of Prime Ministers Modi and Netanyahu. India’s juggling of those relationships and those with Iran and the United States, constitutes skilful relationship management.

The Search for Peace Continues in Afghanistan

The steps towards peace will be undermined by the Afghan Taliban, who are not sufficiently enlightened to recognise the benefits that the Constitution can bring to the country in the long run.

US-Iran Relations: The “Great Satan” Should Soften Its Rhetoric

In light of growing public dissatisfaction within Iran and the subsequent unrest that is enveloping its leadership, the country’s deteriorating economic situation and the international community’s preference for a diplomatic settlement with Tehran, the US may better serve its interests by adopting a less confrontational stance towards the Islamic Republic.

Quad Forum Under Pressure to Evolve

Strategic interests are now more aligned under the revived Quad strategic dialogue raising speculations of a possible structured military alliance in the coming years.

New Caledonia says “Non” to Independence … For Now

In the second Noumea Accords referendum on independence, New Caledonians voted by a margin of 6.6 per cent to remain part of France, but the record voter turnout and narrowing margin between “yes” and “no” points towards an even closer final referendum in 2022.

Xi’s UN Speech: When Rhetoric Did Not Meet Reality

General Secretary Xi Jinping’s speech on the occasion of the seventy-fifth anniversary of the founding of the United Nations is a classic example of the Chinese Communist Party’s doublespeak. Almost every statement was hypocritical when examined in light of such CCP actions as the suppression of elements of the Chinese population, the manipulation of international laws and regulations, and coercive international efforts.

COVID-19 Reinforces South Korea’s Southern Pivot

Implementing practical co-operative projects to assist in dealing with the pandemic could help South Korea realise its goal to be a strategic partner in Southeast Asia.

Publication Guide

  • Associate papers are primary source assessments written by FDI associates. The assessment topics range from regional bilateral relationships and opportunities and challenges in our neighbouring countries.

  • Feature interviews are interviews conducted by an FDI Research Manager. Interview topics range from the sustainability of our planet to the improved provision of emergency food aid.

  • Normally issued in hardcopy, these represent a comprehensive study of one of FDI’s four research areas.

  • Strategic alerts are priority current intelligence items. We provide these alerts when events such as military deployments or foreign election results occur.

  • A 1500 to 3000 word, single topic assessment.

  • A number of short articles addressing current intelligence topics, issued each week.

  • A record of discussions resulting from a single, or series of, roundtable conferences.

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