Independent Strategic Analysis of Australia’s Global Interests

Global Food and Water Crises

Australia’s greatest responsibility and opportunity in the 21st century is to help feed a hungry world. Mobilisation of political will and an overhaul of the existing global food systems are critical to avert crises.

Australia Could Regain Some of its Lost Wheat Market Share in Indonesia

Due to increased competition from the Black Sea region, Australian wheat lost some of its market share in Indonesia. Russian export duties and a decline in Ukrainian wheat production could see Australia regain some of that share, at least in the short term.

The US-China Trade Relationship During the Biden Administration

The US-China Phase One Trade Agreement was under review by the Biden Administration as part of a reappraisal of the broader Sino-US relationship. Public statements from several senior members of the administration, however, indicate that the trade agreement will not be abandoned. It is clear that, unless Beijing’s behaviour changes considerably, the Biden Administration’s approach to trade with China will not be vastly different to that of the Trump Administration.

Hunger Worsens in Myanmar due to Deteriorating Political Situation

Myanmar’s precarious food security situation has been thrown into almost as much chaos as the country’s political system.

African Swine Fever Variants Discovered in China, Posing a Threat to Pork Production

While African Swine Fever remains contained in China, a resurgence of the disease would delay efforts to rebuild the swine herd after several years of decline, reduce global grain prices and increase the cost of meat.

Bangladesh Sees Food Security Decline for the Second Year in a Row

The events of last year hampered Dhaka’s efforts to reduce poverty and improve food security. They exposed vulnerabilities in the Bangladeshi food system that are likely to present challenges to its long-term food security.

Food Security in the Middle East During the Covid-19 Pandemic: From Bad to Worse

Many Middle Eastern countries were experiencing heightened levels of food insecurity even before the Covid-19 pandemic. Economic shocks related to regional and global lockdown measures, and conflict in some parts of the region have further reduced food security. It is expected that the regional food security situation will remain precarious for the foreseeable future.

Chinese Tariffs on Australian Wine in 2020: The Domestic Drivers of International Coercion

China targeted Australian wine as part of an economic coercion programme in 2020. Australian wine imports were also seen as a threat to the Chinese wine industry, which was a domestic driver of the trade barriers that Beijing erected. As those barriers are unlikely to be removed in the near term, the Australian wine industry will need to adapt to them.

After Devastating Flood, What Now for India?

Climate change, dams and a lack of glacial monitoring are making floods of this nature increasingly likely. Urgent action is needed to prevent another disaster.

International Food Prices Rise to Six-Year High, Presenting an Opportunity for Australian Exporters

Higher Chinese demand for feed grains and the imposition of Russian wheat export duties are pushing global food prices higher. Higher prices will benefit food exporters, including Australia, but will increase living costs for populations in poorer, import-reliant countries.

Trouble Brews in South-East Asia as Thailand Rejects Laotian Dam Report

The latest move indicates growing, if belated, concern around the environmental and economic viability of damming the Mekong River.

Publication Guide

  • Associate papers are primary source assessments written by FDI associates. The assessment topics range from regional bilateral relationships and opportunities and challenges in our neighbouring countries.

  • Feature interviews are interviews conducted by an FDI Research Manager. Interview topics range from the sustainability of our planet to the improved provision of emergency food aid.

  • Normally issued in hardcopy, these represent a comprehensive study of one of FDI’s four research areas.

  • Strategic alerts are priority current intelligence items. We provide these alerts when events such as military deployments or foreign election results occur.

  • A 1500 to 3000 word, single topic assessment.

  • A number of short articles addressing current intelligence topics, issued each week.

  • A record of discussions resulting from a single, or series of, roundtable conferences.

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