Independent Strategic Analysis of Australia’s Global Interests


As an emerging maritime power, Indonesia will encounter a variety of considerations in deciding how it will project its power in the region. In the lead up to his election, Indonesian President Joko Widodo promised to strengthen Indonesia’s maritime security and develop diplomatic ties.

Indonesia: Criminal Code Revision Offers Permanent Place for Intolerance

Politicians have used the review to shore up conservative votes at the expense of Indonesia’s LGBT community. At this stage, it is likely that the revision will be endorsed by parliament but it remains unclear whether it will be approved by President Jokowi.

Australia Hosts New Counter-Terrorism Dialogue for South-East Asian Neighbours

A new platform for counter-terrorism dialogue may not yield tangible results for South-East Asia but could act as a useful diplomatic vehicle for Australia to deepen its strategic bilateral arrangements with key partners.

Indonesia Hesitant as United States Concentrates National Security Focus on Indo-Pacific

US interest in the Indo-Pacific may be worrying for Indonesia as it could hasten a scuffle with China over competing interests in the region. Indonesia, however, is not in a position to turn away from the US and must keep its options on the table.

Indonesian Foreign Policy: Blind Spots, Stress Points and Potential Pitfalls

A growing Indonesia will be confronted by numerous challenges in the years ahead. Among those challenges are Indonesia’s leadership role in ASEAN, its position as a Muslim beacon of democracy and the need to reduce its dependence on China by broadening its economic relationships with other countries. The appeal of populist policies and phantom threats that distract officials from addressing deeper foreign policy issues must also be addressed.

Could Indonesia’s Fight against Corruption Threaten Jokowi’s Presidency?

The recent arrest of the Golkar chairman could shift alliances in the governing coalition and hinder Jokowi’s chances at a second presidential term.

The Lacklustre Australia-Indonesia Economic Relationship

One of Australia’s most important bilateral partners, Indonesia is expected to become the fourth-largest world economy in terms of gross domestic product by 2050. With significant growth expected as the size of its middle class continues to expand, Indonesia provides an opportunity for Australian businesses to tap into a large and increasingly affluent market. So far, however, the economic relationship has failed to reflect the full geostrategic importance of the wider relationship.

Indonesia: Deforestation puts Jakarta Water Security at Risk

Reducing deforestation in the Ciliwung River basin will help to improve water security in Jakarta and contribute greatly to the reduction of carbon emissions globally.

Japan to Assist Indonesia in Securing the “North Natuna Sea”

While the focus of Japanese support appears to be centred on enabling and protecting Indonesia’s fishing industry, there is also a geo-strategic motivation to counter the Chinese claim over most of the South China Sea.

Montara Oil Spill Eight Years On: Timorese Livelihoods Still at Risk

Thousands of West Timorese seaweed farmers are still severely affected by the oil spill. More should be done to examine the damage and to assess the rehabilitation needed within Indonesian waters.

Aerial Boost to Security in the Sulu Sea

Aerial patrols will provide a significant boost to maritime patrols in the Sulu Sea through tracking militant movements. Further assistance from Singapore and Brunei is also likely.

Publication Guide

  • Associate papers are primary source assessments written by FDI associates. The assessment topics range from regional bilateral relationships and opportunities and challenges in our neighbouring countries.

  • Feature interviews are interviews conducted by an FDI Research Manager. Interview topics range from the sustainability of our planet to the improved provision of emergency food aid.

  • Normally issued in hardcopy, these represent a comprehensive study of one of FDI’s four research areas.

  • Strategic alerts are priority current intelligence items. We provide these alerts when events such as military deployments or foreign election results occur.

  • A 1500 to 3000 word, single topic assessment.

  • A number of short articles addressing current intelligence topics, issued each week.

  • A record of discussions resulting from a single, or series of, roundtable conferences.

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