Independent Strategic Analysis of Australia’s Global Interests

Indian Ocean SWA Articles

Hanging by a Thread: Timor-Leste Government Losing Grip on Power

The ruling coalition in Timor-Leste is likely to dissolve if it is not able to secure the passage through parliament of its legislative programme. If that happens, a new coalition will have to be negotiated or another round of parliamentary elections held.

Airman on a Short Fuse? Indian Air Chief Speaks on Surgical Strikes on Pakistani Nuclear Sites

Air Chief Marshal Dhanoa’s recent statement was primarily aimed at a domestic audience. It was, for the most part, viewed as such by Pakistan and is an example of the truism that, in the Subcontinent, appearing weak is more dangerous than actually being weak.

Pakistan and Home-Grown Terror: A No-Win Situation

Pakistan’s use of militant groups to achieve its goals in Afghanistan and India has served to degrade its relationship with the US, increase its dependence on China and place it in deeper trouble than ever before.

Indonesia: Fire Count at Record Low for 2017

Higher rainfall helped to alleviate the fire season but some credit is owed to the Indonesian Government which should continue to focus on preventative measures.

Could Indonesia’s Fight against Corruption Threaten Jokowi’s Presidency?

The recent arrest of the Golkar chairman could shift alliances in the governing coalition and hinder Jokowi’s chances at a second presidential term.

“New Horizons” for South Korean Diplomacy in South-East Asia

Through greater engagement with ASEAN, South Korea is aiming to diversify its diplomatic relations by broadening the focus from the four major powers of China, the United States, Japan and Russia.

Lebanon: The Pawn in the Saudi-Iranian Chess Match

By drawing Lebanon into its all-but-declared war against Iran, Saudi Arabia has almost certainly set itself on the path to failure or the Middle East to war.

Greater Sunrise Looking Brighter for Timor-Leste

There is reason to be optimistic following recent progress towards the development of the Greater Sunrise gas field, although compromises will need to be made if the development is to move ahead.

The Chinese Ambassador’s Op-ed: A Contrarian View

From the Indian perspective, Luo Zhaohui’s calls for calm and reflection are disingenuous at best and pay scant, if any, regard for Indian sentiment or strategic objectives.

Malaysia Unveils a Budget for the Masses

The budget appears to have struck a balance between preserving public support through handouts and continuing commitments to reduce fiscal deficits.

Publication Guide

  • Associate papers are primary source assessments written by FDI associates. The assessment topics range from regional bilateral relationships and opportunities and challenges in our neighbouring countries.

  • Feature interviews are interviews conducted by an FDI Research Manager. Interview topics range from the sustainability of our planet to the improved provision of emergency food aid.

  • Normally issued in hardcopy, these represent a comprehensive study of one of FDI’s four research areas.

  • Strategic alerts are priority current intelligence items. We provide these alerts when events such as military deployments or foreign election results occur.

  • A 1500 to 3000 word, single topic assessment.

  • A number of short articles addressing current intelligence topics, issued each week.

  • A record of discussions resulting from a single, or series of, roundtable conferences.

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