Independent Strategic Analysis of Australia’s Global Interests

Topic

Nehruvianism in Indian Foreign Policy – Embedded in the Modi Doctrine?

22 February 2018 | Associate Papers, Indian Ocean

The influence of Jawaharlal Nehru, as the first prime minister of India, remains relevant seventy years after independence. The dealings of current PM Narendra Modi with regional and global leaders demonstrate his personal charisma and political agility and speak of progression, rather than change. India’s past conflict and present competition with China conform to that pattern.

India Poised to Deepen its Presence in the Gulf Following Oman Visit

In a recent visit to the Sultanate by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Oman granted India the use of a strategic port and the two states signed several Memoranda of Understanding. As China’s presence in the Indian Ocean Region grows, India will continue to look to Oman, a longstanding partner, to help it to achieve its economic and maritime security interests in the Persian Gulf.

Will the Sanchi Oil Tank Collision Push Chinese Fishing Boats Further Into Foreign Waters?

A valuable Chinese fishery could be facing significant damage causing Chinese fishermen to use the disaster to launch a more aggressive campaign into foreign fishing grounds.

Water Crisis at Risk of Spreading throughout South Africa but Total Anarchy Unlikely

Despite what some authorities believe will be total social disorder in the event of running out of water, South Africans may need humanitarian assistance above traditional military protection.

Indonesian Air Force to Receive Russian Fighters

The purchase of eleven Sukhoi fighter jets is a small, but welcome upgrade. The larger process of expanding the Indonesian Air Force, of which it has been part, is extremely slow-moving and achieving the Minimum Essential Force goals by 2024 appears unlikely.

Food and Water Insecurity in Iran: A Factor in Recent Protests?

Rising food and water costs in Iran will continue to provide the populace with a reason to rebel.

Climate Change Adaptation Strategies for Indonesia

The climate adaptation strategies that will be of most benefit to Indonesia include infrastructure reinforcement to gain resilience and robustness when faced with floods or droughts, the establishment of early warning systems, sustainable and adaptive farming practices and disaster insurance. This paper will suggest adaptation measures that can be taken by the Indonesian Government and the Indonesian people to prepare for a changing climate.

How Climate Change Affects Food and Water Security in Indonesia

As a result of climatic change, Indonesia is likely to experience increased temperatures and more volatile dry and wet periods. Increased climate volatility is likely to reduce its domestic food and water security with implications for the supply of water to urban populations, the longevity of groundwater resources and agricultural productivity.

South Africa: Chance for Fresh Start as Zuma Goes

15 February 2018 | Indian Ocean, Strategic Alerts

The resignation of Jacob Zuma offers a chance to move past his controversial presidency but the governing party is far from united. If the ANC can come together to govern equitably and in the best interests of all South Africans, while repudiating the corruption, incompetence and cronyism of the Zuma era, the Cyril Ramaphosa presidency may offer a welcome return to the optimism and vitality that initially characterised post-apartheid South Africa.

Indonesia: Criminal Code Revision Offers Permanent Place for Intolerance

Politicians have used the review to shore up conservative votes at the expense of Indonesia’s LGBT community. At this stage, it is likely that the revision will be endorsed by parliament but it remains unclear whether it will be approved by President Jokowi.

Publication Guide

  • Associate papers are primary source assessments written by FDI associates. The assessment topics range from regional bilateral relationships and opportunities and challenges in our neighbouring countries.

  • Feature interviews are interviews conducted by an FDI Research Manager. Interview topics range from the sustainability of our planet to the improved provision of emergency food aid.

  • Normally issued in hardcopy, these represent a comprehensive study of one of FDI’s four research areas.

  • Strategic alerts are priority current intelligence items. We provide these alerts when events such as military deployments or foreign election results occur.

  • A 1500 to 3000 word, single topic assessment.

  • A number of short articles addressing current intelligence topics, issued each week.

  • A record of discussions resulting from a single, or series of, roundtable conferences.

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